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Lecce vs Sassuolo prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Sassuolo slight favourites to beat Lecce away from home in Serie A on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Lecce a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Sassuolo 41%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Lecce and 1.3 from Sassuolo, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Lecce keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Sassuolo in 32%.
Lecce are 14th in the table with 10 points from 11 games; Sassuolo are 17th with 8. In their last five league games Lecce took 4 points (WLLLD) and Sassuolo took 0 (LLLLL). This season Lecce average 1.26 expected goals (xG) for and 1.84 against per game; Sassuolo average 1.28 for and 1.98 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lecce won 2, Sassuolo won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce, a win for Lecce.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.13 for Lecce and 1.32 for Sassuolo.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lecce won 2, Sassuolo won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce, a win for Lecce.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lecce vs Sassuolo?
GossipBall gives Lecce a 31% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sassuolo 41%. GossipBall makes Sassuolo slight favourites to beat Lecce away from home.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Sassuolo?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Lecce, 1.3 for Sassuolo). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Sassuolo?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Lecce and Sassuolo score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lecce vs Sassuolo?
There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.1 for Lecce, 1.3 for Sassuolo).
When is Lecce vs Sassuolo?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Sassuolo?
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lecce won 2, Sassuolo won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce, a win for Lecce.