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Milan vs Frosinone prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Milan favourites to beat Frosinone at home in Serie A on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Milan a 59% chance of winning, puts the draw at 20% and gives Frosinone 21%.
GossipBall expects 2.3 goals from Milan and 1.4 from Frosinone, so goals look likely: there is a 71% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Milan keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Frosinone in 10%.
Milan are 5th in the table with 21 points from 10 games; Frosinone are 6th with 20. In their last five league games Milan took 10 points (DWWLW) and Frosinone took 10 (LWDWW). This season Milan average 1.77 expected goals (xG) for and 1.32 against per game; Frosinone average 1.74 for and 2.11 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2023, Milan won 2, Frosinone won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Feb 2024, finished Frosinone 2–3 Milan, a win for Milan.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total: 2.33 for Milan and 1.36 for Frosinone.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2023, Milan won 2, Frosinone won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Feb 2024, finished Frosinone 2–3 Milan, a win for Milan.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Milan vs Frosinone?
GossipBall gives Milan a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Frosinone 21%. GossipBall makes Milan favourites to beat Frosinone at home.
What is the predicted score for Milan vs Frosinone?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.3 for Milan, 1.4 for Frosinone). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
Will both teams score in Milan vs Frosinone?
GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Milan and Frosinone score.
Will there be three or more goals in Milan vs Frosinone?
There is a 71% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total (2.3 for Milan, 1.4 for Frosinone).
When is Milan vs Frosinone?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Milan and Frosinone?
In 2 league meetings since 2023, Milan won 2, Frosinone won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Feb 2024, finished Frosinone 2–3 Milan, a win for Milan.