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Parma vs Roma prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Roma clear favourites to beat Parma away from home in Serie A on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Parma a 15% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Roma 61%.
GossipBall expects 0.7 goals from Parma and 1.7 from Roma, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 41% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Parma keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Roma in 50%.
Parma are 15th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Roma are 3rd with 24. In their last five league games Parma took 4 points (LLLDW) and Roma took 11 (DWDWW). This season Parma average 0.76 expected goals (xG) for and 1.80 against per game; Roma average 2.26 for and 1.37 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Parma won 0, Roma won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Parma 2–3 Roma, a win for Roma.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (15%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 0.70 for Parma and 1.71 for Roma.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2024, Parma won 0, Roma won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Parma 2–3 Roma, a win for Roma.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Parma vs Roma?
GossipBall gives Parma a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Roma 61%. GossipBall makes Roma clear favourites to beat Parma away from home.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Roma?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.7 for Parma, 1.7 for Roma). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Parma vs Roma?
GossipBall gives a 41% chance that both Parma and Roma score.
Will there be three or more goals in Parma vs Roma?
There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (0.7 for Parma, 1.7 for Roma).
When is Parma vs Roma?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Roma?
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Parma won 0, Roma won 4 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Parma 2–3 Roma, a win for Roma.