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Roma vs Monza prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Roma clear favourites to beat Monza at home in Serie A on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Roma a 72% chance of winning, puts the draw at 17% and gives Monza 11%.
GossipBall expects 2.4 goals from Roma and 0.8 from Monza, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Roma keep a clean sheet in 45% of outcomes, Monza in 9%.
Roma are 3rd in the table with 27 points from 11 games; Monza are 18th with 7. In their last five league games Roma took 13 points (WDWWW) and Monza took 3 (WLLLL). This season Roma average 2.39 expected goals (xG) for and 1.27 against per game; Monza average 1.56 for and 1.45 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Roma won 4, Monza won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2025, finished Roma 4–0 Monza, a win for Roma.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.38 for Roma and 0.81 for Monza.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2022, Roma won 4, Monza won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2025, finished Roma 4–0 Monza, a win for Roma.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Roma vs Monza?
GossipBall gives Roma a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monza 11%. GossipBall makes Roma clear favourites to beat Monza at home.
What is the predicted score for Roma vs Monza?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.4 for Roma, 0.8 for Monza). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Roma vs Monza?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Roma and Monza score.
Will there be three or more goals in Roma vs Monza?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.4 for Roma, 0.8 for Monza).
When is Roma vs Monza?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Roma and Monza?
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Roma won 4, Monza won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Feb 2025, finished Roma 4–0 Monza, a win for Roma.