Serie AMatchday 15Friday 11 December 2026 ·

Udinese vs Frosinone prediction

35%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.6% chance
23%
draw
42%
away win
Win probability: home 35%, draw 23%, away 42%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Frosinone slight favourites to beat Udinese away from home in Serie A on Friday 11 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Udinese a 35% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Frosinone 42%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Udinese and 1.8 from Frosinone, so goals look likely: there is a 66% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Udinese keep a clean sheet in 17% of outcomes, Frosinone in 20%.

Udinese are 20th in the table with 5 points from 11 games; Frosinone are 6th with 20. In their last five league games Udinese took 1 points (LLDLL) and Frosinone took 10 (WDWWL). This season Udinese average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 2.19 against per game; Frosinone average 1.77 for and 2.01 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Udinese won 1, Frosinone won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 May 2024, finished Frosinone 0–1 Udinese, a win for Udinese.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
6
5
3
1
<1
1
5
10
9
5
2
<1
2
4
8
7
4
2
<1
3
2
4
4
2
1
<1
4
<1
2
2
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Udinese goalsColumns: Frosinone goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–19.8%
1–28.6%
2–17.8%
2–27.0%
0–15.7%
0–25.3%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
86%
3 or more goals
66%
4 or more goals
44%
5 or more goals
26%
Both teams score
67%

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 1.62 for Udinese and 1.78 for Frosinone.

Winning margin

Explained
Udinese by 3
5%
Udinese by 2
10%
Udinese by 1
18%
Draw
23%
Frosinone by 3
6%
Frosinone by 2
13%
Frosinone by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Udinese expected goals1.62
Frosinone expected goals1.78
Udinese keep a clean sheet17%
Frosinone keep a clean sheet20%
Udinese win without conceding13%
Frosinone win without conceding16%
Udinese score 2 or more48%
Frosinone score 2 or more53%

Recent form

Udinese
L @ Venezia1–2 · 6 Nov
L v Roma2–5 · 31 Oct
D @ Parma0–0 · 28 Oct
L v Milan0–2 · 25 Oct
L v Lecce0–3 · 18 Oct
Frosinone
L @ Cagliari0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Torino2–0 · 1 Nov
W v Lecce5–1 · 29 Oct
D @ Atalanta4–4 · 25 Oct
W v Sassuolo4–2 · 16 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Udinese won 1, Frosinone won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 May 2024, finished Frosinone 0–1 Udinese, a win for Udinese.

Frosinone 0–1 Udinese26 May 2024
Udinese 0–0 Frosinone2 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

UDIFRO
1.09
Goals
2.18
2.27
Conceded
1.36
1.16
xG
1.77
2.19
xG against
2.01
14.6
Shots
20.1
4.5
On target
6.8
4.7
Corners
7.0
1.64
Yellow cards
1.55
9%
Clean sheets
27%
64%
Both score
46%
64%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win Udinese vs Frosinone?

GossipBall gives Udinese a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Frosinone 42%. GossipBall makes Frosinone slight favourites to beat Udinese away from home.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Frosinone?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Udinese, 1.8 for Frosinone). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Frosinone?

GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Udinese and Frosinone score.

Will there be three or more goals in Udinese vs Frosinone?

There is a 66% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (1.6 for Udinese, 1.8 for Frosinone).

When is Udinese vs Frosinone?

Kick-off is Friday 11 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Frosinone?

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Udinese won 1, Frosinone won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 26 May 2024, finished Frosinone 0–1 Udinese, a win for Udinese.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC