Serie AMatchday 13Friday 27 November 2026 ·

Venezia vs Bologna prediction

24%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.6% chance
25%
draw
51%
away win
Win probability: home 24%, draw 25%, away 51%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Bologna favourites to beat Venezia away from home in Serie A on Friday 27 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Venezia a 24% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Bologna 51%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Venezia and 1.6 from Bologna, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Venezia keep a clean sheet in 20% of outcomes, Bologna in 36%.

Venezia are 19th in the table with 6 points from 11 games; Bologna are 8th with 17. In their last five league games Venezia took 6 points (WLLLW) and Bologna took 12 (LWWWW). This season Venezia average 1.48 expected goals (xG) for and 1.95 against per game; Bologna average 1.68 for and 1.36 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Venezia won 2, Bologna won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Venezia 0–1 Bologna, a win for Bologna.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
11
9
5
2
<1
1
7
12
10
5
2
<1
2
4
6
5
3
1
<1
3
1
2
2
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
Rows: Venezia goalsColumns: Bologna goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.0%
0–111.1%
1–29.6%
0–29.3%
0–07.2%
1–07.0%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
75%
3 or more goals
50%
4 or more goals
28%
5 or more goals
13%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.03 for Venezia and 1.63 for Bologna.

Winning margin

Explained
Venezia by 3
2%
Venezia by 2
6%
Venezia by 1
15%
Draw
25%
Bologna by 3
8%
Bologna by 2
16%
Bologna by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
Venezia expected goals1.03
Bologna expected goals1.63
Venezia keep a clean sheet20%
Bologna keep a clean sheet36%
Venezia win without conceding12%
Bologna win without conceding28%
Venezia score 2 or more28%
Bologna score 2 or more48%

Recent form

Venezia
W v Udinese2–1 · 6 Nov
L @ Como0–1 · 1 Nov
L v Inter0–2 · 28 Oct
L @ Genoa0–1 · 25 Oct
W v Napoli1–0 · 17 Oct
Bologna
W @ Parma2–1 · 7 Nov
W v Monza2–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Milan4–2 · 28 Oct
W @ Cagliari2–0 · 24 Oct
L v Inter1–3 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Venezia won 2, Bologna won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Venezia 0–1 Bologna, a win for Bologna.

Venezia 0–1 Bologna29 Mar 2025
Bologna 3–0 Venezia30 Nov 2024
Venezia 4–3 Bologna8 May 2022
Bologna 0–1 Venezia21 Nov 2021

Season averages per game

VENBOL
0.73
Goals
1.45
1.91
Conceded
1.27
1.48
xG
1.68
1.95
xG against
1.36
13.7
Shots
13.6
4.0
On target
4.5
3.9
Corners
5.0
2.09
Yellow cards
2.09
9%
Clean sheets
9%
36%
Both score
64%
36%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win Venezia vs Bologna?

GossipBall gives Venezia a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bologna 51%. GossipBall makes Bologna favourites to beat Venezia away from home.

What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Bologna?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Venezia, 1.6 for Bologna). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).

Will both teams score in Venezia vs Bologna?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Venezia and Bologna score.

Will there be three or more goals in Venezia vs Bologna?

There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.0 for Venezia, 1.6 for Bologna).

When is Venezia vs Bologna?

Kick-off is Friday 27 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Bologna?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Venezia won 2, Bologna won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Venezia 0–1 Bologna, a win for Bologna.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC