Serie AMatchday 14Monday 7 December 2026 ·

Venezia vs Sassuolo prediction

36%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.5% chance
26%
draw
38%
away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 26%, away 38%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Venezia against Sassuolo as too close to call in Serie A on Monday 7 December 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Venezia a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Sassuolo 38%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Venezia and 1.4 from Sassuolo, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Venezia keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Sassuolo in 25%.

Venezia are 19th in the table with 6 points from 11 games; Sassuolo are 17th with 8. In their last five league games Venezia took 6 points (WLLLW) and Sassuolo took 0 (LLLLL). This season Venezia average 1.48 expected goals (xG) for and 1.95 against per game; Sassuolo average 1.28 for and 1.98 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2021, Venezia won 0, Sassuolo won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Mar 2022, finished Venezia 1–4 Sassuolo, a win for Sassuolo.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
8
6
3
1
<1
1
8
12
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
6
3
1
<1
3
3
4
3
1
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Venezia goalsColumns: Sassuolo goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.1%
1–28.5%
0–18.3%
2–18.2%
1–08.0%
0–06.2%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
54%
4 or more goals
31%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.39 for Venezia and 1.44 for Sassuolo.

Winning margin

Explained
Venezia by 3
4%
Venezia by 2
11%
Venezia by 1
19%
Draw
26%
Sassuolo by 3
5%
Sassuolo by 2
11%
Sassuolo by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Venezia expected goals1.39
Sassuolo expected goals1.44
Venezia keep a clean sheet24%
Sassuolo keep a clean sheet25%
Venezia win without conceding18%
Sassuolo win without conceding19%
Venezia score 2 or more40%
Sassuolo score 2 or more42%

Recent form

Venezia
W v Udinese2–1 · 6 Nov
L @ Como0–1 · 1 Nov
L v Inter0–2 · 28 Oct
L @ Genoa0–1 · 25 Oct
W v Napoli1–0 · 17 Oct
Sassuolo
L @ Roma0–3 · 7 Nov
L v Fiorentina2–4 · 2 Nov
L v Lazio2–6 · 27 Oct
L @ Como0–2 · 24 Oct
L @ Frosinone2–4 · 16 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2021, Venezia won 0, Sassuolo won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Mar 2022, finished Venezia 1–4 Sassuolo, a win for Sassuolo.

Venezia 1–4 Sassuolo6 Mar 2022
Sassuolo 3–1 Venezia23 Oct 2021

Season averages per game

VENSAS
0.73
Goals
1.45
1.91
Conceded
2.64
1.48
xG
1.28
1.95
xG against
1.98
13.7
Shots
12.6
4.0
On target
4.5
3.9
Corners
3.8
2.09
Yellow cards
1.45
9%
Clean sheets
0%
36%
Both score
82%
36%
3+ goals
82%

Questions and answers

Who will win Venezia vs Sassuolo?

GossipBall gives Venezia a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sassuolo 38%. GossipBall sees Venezia against Sassuolo as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Sassuolo?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Venezia, 1.4 for Sassuolo). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Venezia vs Sassuolo?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Venezia and Sassuolo score.

Will there be three or more goals in Venezia vs Sassuolo?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.4 for Venezia, 1.4 for Sassuolo).

When is Venezia vs Sassuolo?

Kick-off is Monday 7 December 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Sassuolo?

In 2 league meetings since 2021, Venezia won 0, Sassuolo won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Mar 2022, finished Venezia 1–4 Sassuolo, a win for Sassuolo.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC