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Süper LigSunday 8 November 2026 ·

Rizespor vs Erzurumspor prediction

48%
home win
predicted score
2–0
10.0% chance
30%
draw
22%
away win
Win probability: home 48%, draw 30%, away 22%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Rizespor favourites to beat Erzurumspor at home in the Süper Lig on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 10:30 UTC. It gives Rizespor a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Erzurumspor 22%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Rizespor and 0.9 from Erzurumspor, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 42% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Rizespor keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Erzurumspor in 23%.

Rizespor are 13th in the table with 11 points from 10 games; Erzurumspor are 11th with 14. In their last five league games Rizespor took 2 points (DLLLD) and Erzurumspor took 10 (WDWWL). This season Rizespor average 1.38 expected goals (xG) for and 1.29 against per game; Erzurumspor average 0.85 for and 1.37 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
11
7
4
1
<1
1
12
14
6
2
<1
2
10
9
4
1
<1
3
5
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Rizespor goalsColumns: Erzurumspor goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–114.2%
1–011.8%
0–011.1%
2–010.0%
2–19.1%
0–16.6%
1 or more goals
89%
2 or more goals
70%
3 or more goals
42%
4 or more goals
22%
5 or more goals
9%
Both teams score
48%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.47 for Rizespor and 0.91 for Erzurumspor.

Winning margin

Explained
Rizespor by 3
7%
Rizespor by 2
15%
Rizespor by 1
23%
Draw
30%
Erzurumspor by 3
2%
Erzurumspor by 2
6%
Erzurumspor by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Rizespor expected goals1.47
Erzurumspor expected goals0.91
Rizespor keep a clean sheet40%
Erzurumspor keep a clean sheet23%
Rizespor win without conceding29%
Erzurumspor win without conceding12%
Rizespor score 2 or more43%
Erzurumspor score 2 or more23%

Recent form

Rizespor
D @ Kocaelispor0–0 · 31 Oct
L v Trabzonspor3–4 · 26 Oct
L @ Çorum1–2 · 16 Oct
L v Fenerbahçe0–3 · 10 Oct
D @ Göztepe2–2 · 20 Sep
Erzurumspor
L v Çorum1–3 · 31 Oct
W @ Gaziantep3–1 · 24 Oct
W v Eyüpspor2–0 · 17 Oct
D @ Alanyaspor0–0 · 10 Oct
W v Samsunspor1–0 · 20 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

RIZERZ
1.10
Goals
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
1.38
xG
0.85
1.29
xG against
1.37
15.3
Shots
9.9
4.9
On target
2.9
4.8
Corners
3.5
1.90
Yellow cards
1.30
30%
Clean sheets
40%
40%
Both score
30%
50%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Rizespor vs Erzurumspor?

GossipBall gives Rizespor a 48% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Erzurumspor 22%. GossipBall makes Rizespor favourites to beat Erzurumspor at home.

What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Erzurumspor?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Rizespor, 0.9 for Erzurumspor). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Rizespor vs Erzurumspor?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Rizespor and Erzurumspor score.

Will there be three or more goals in Rizespor vs Erzurumspor?

There is a 42% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.5 for Rizespor, 0.9 for Erzurumspor).

When is Rizespor vs Erzurumspor?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 10:30 UTC.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·