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Belgian Pro LeagueSaturday 7 November 2026 ·

Westerlo vs Charleroi prediction

39%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.6% chance
26%
draw
35%
away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 26%, away 35%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Westerlo against Charleroi as too close to call in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Westerlo a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Charleroi 35%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Westerlo and 1.4 from Charleroi, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Westerlo keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Charleroi in 22%.

Westerlo are 8th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Charleroi are 4th with 24. In their last five league games Westerlo took 10 points (WWWDL) and Charleroi took 12 (WWWLW). This season Westerlo average 1.57 expected goals (xG) for and 1.83 against per game; Charleroi average 1.90 for and 1.13 against.

In 12 league meetings since 2022, Westerlo won 4, Charleroi won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo, a win for Westerlo.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
6
5
3
<1
<1
1
7
12
8
4
1
<1
2
6
9
6
3
1
<1
3
3
4
3
2
<1
<1
4
1
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Westerlo goalsColumns: Charleroi goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.2%
2–18.6%
1–28.1%
1–06.9%
0–16.5%
2–26.2%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
81%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
61%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.53 for Westerlo and 1.44 for Charleroi.

Winning margin

Explained
Westerlo by 3
5%
Westerlo by 2
12%
Westerlo by 1
19%
Draw
26%
Charleroi by 3
4%
Charleroi by 2
10%
Charleroi by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Westerlo expected goals1.53
Charleroi expected goals1.44
Westerlo keep a clean sheet24%
Charleroi keep a clean sheet22%
Westerlo win without conceding18%
Charleroi win without conceding16%
Westerlo score 2 or more45%
Charleroi score 2 or more42%

Recent form

Westerlo
L @ Anderlecht1–4 · 31 Oct
D v Beveren4–4 · 24 Oct
W v Antwerp5–1 · 11 Oct
W @ Sint-Truiden2–0 · 20 Sep
W v Standard Liège4–2 · 12 Sep
Charleroi
W v RAAL La Louvière5–2 · 1 Nov
L @ Antwerp0–3 · 24 Oct
W @ Standard Liège1–0 · 11 Oct
W v Cercle Brugge3–2 · 19 Sep
W @ Zulte Waregem1–0 · 13 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 12 league meetings since 2022, Westerlo won 4, Charleroi won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo, a win for Westerlo.

Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo16 May 2026
Westerlo 2–0 Charleroi5 Apr 2026
Westerlo 2–1 Charleroi22 Feb 2026
Charleroi 2–0 Westerlo8 Nov 2025
Charleroi 4–3 Westerlo9 May 2025
Westerlo 2–2 Charleroi11 Apr 2025

Season averages per game

WESCHA
2.50
Goals
2.10
2.50
Conceded
1.20
1.57
xG
1.90
1.83
xG against
1.13
14.8
Shots
17.2
5.3
On target
5.8
3.6
Corners
5.4
1.20
Yellow cards
1.60
20%
Clean sheets
40%
70%
Both score
50%
90%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Westerlo vs Charleroi?

GossipBall gives Westerlo a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Charleroi 35%. GossipBall sees Westerlo against Charleroi as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Westerlo vs Charleroi?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Westerlo, 1.4 for Charleroi). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Westerlo vs Charleroi?

GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Westerlo and Charleroi score.

Will there be three or more goals in Westerlo vs Charleroi?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.5 for Westerlo, 1.4 for Charleroi).

When is Westerlo vs Charleroi?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Westerlo and Charleroi?

In 12 league meetings since 2022, Westerlo won 4, Charleroi won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Charleroi 0–1 Westerlo, a win for Westerlo.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·