Español
Português
Bayern Munich vs Paderborn prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat Paderborn at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 4 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Bayern Munich a 86% chance of winning, puts the draw at 10% and gives Paderborn 4%.
GossipBall expects 3.3 goals from Bayern Munich and 0.7 from Paderborn, so goals look likely: there is a 76% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0. Bayern Munich keep a clean sheet in 50% of outcomes, Paderborn in 4%.
Bayern Munich are 1st in the table with 21 points from 9 games; Paderborn are 13th with 10. In their last five league games Bayern Munich took 11 points (DWWDW) and Paderborn took 6 (LDWDD). This season Bayern Munich average 3.46 expected goals (xG) for and 0.86 against per game; Paderborn average 1.15 for and 1.66 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total: 3.32 for Bayern Munich and 0.69 for Paderborn.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bayern Munich vs Paderborn?
GossipBall gives Bayern Munich a 86% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Paderborn 4%. GossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat Paderborn at home.
What is the predicted score for Bayern Munich vs Paderborn?
GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.3 for Bayern Munich, 0.7 for Paderborn). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–0 (11%), 2–0 (10%), 4–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs Paderborn?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Bayern Munich and Paderborn score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bayern Munich vs Paderborn?
There is a 76% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total (3.3 for Bayern Munich, 0.7 for Paderborn).
When is Bayern Munich vs Paderborn?
Kick-off is Friday 4 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC.