Champions LeagueMatchday 5Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

77%
home win
predicted score
4–1
6.6% chance
13%
draw
10%
away win
Win probability: home 77%, draw 13%, away 10%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Real Madrid clear favourites to beat PSV Eindhoven at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Real Madrid a 77% chance of winning, puts the draw at 13% and gives PSV Eindhoven 10%.

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals from Real Madrid and 1.2 from PSV Eindhoven, so goals look likely: there is a 84% chance of three or more goals and a 69% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 4–1. Real Madrid keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, PSV Eindhoven in 4%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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Rows: Real Madrid goalsColumns: PSV Eindhoven goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–1 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

3–17.9%
2–17.1%
4–16.6%
3–06.4%
2–05.7%
4–05.4%
1 or more goals
99%
2 or more goals
95%
3 or more goals
84%
4 or more goals
67%
5 or more goals
48%
Both teams score
69%

GossipBall expects 4.6 goals in total: 3.35 for Real Madrid and 1.24 for PSV Eindhoven.

Winning margin

Explained
Real Madrid by 3
16%
Real Madrid by 2
19%
Real Madrid by 1
17%
Draw
13%
PSV Eindhoven by 3
1%
PSV Eindhoven by 2
3%
PSV Eindhoven by 1
6%

Each team's goals

Explained
Real Madrid expected goals3.35
PSV Eindhoven expected goals1.24
Real Madrid keep a clean sheet29%
PSV Eindhoven keep a clean sheet4%
Real Madrid win without conceding28%
PSV Eindhoven win without conceding2%
Real Madrid score 2 or more85%
PSV Eindhoven score 2 or more35%

Questions and answers

Who will win Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?

GossipBall gives Real Madrid a 77% chance of winning, the draw 13% and PSV Eindhoven 10%. GossipBall makes Real Madrid clear favourites to beat PSV Eindhoven at home.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?

GossipBall's predicted score is 4–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.4 for Real Madrid, 1.2 for PSV Eindhoven). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–1 (8%), 2–1 (7%), 4–1 (7%).

Will both teams score in Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?

GossipBall gives a 69% chance that both Real Madrid and PSV Eindhoven score.

Will there be three or more goals in Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?

There is a 84% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.6 goals in total (3.4 for Real Madrid, 1.2 for PSV Eindhoven).

When is Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC