Champions LeagueMatchday 5Wednesday 25 November 2026 ·

Lille vs Bayern Munich prediction

17%
home win
predicted score
1–3
7.5% chance
19%
draw
63%
away win
Win probability: home 17%, draw 19%, away 63%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat Lille away from home in the Champions League on Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Lille a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Bayern Munich 63%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Lille and 2.4 from Bayern Munich, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Lille keep a clean sheet in 9% of outcomes, Bayern Munich in 30%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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Rows: Lille goalsColumns: Bayern Munich goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–2 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–29.5%
1–18.4%
0–28.0%
1–37.5%
0–16.3%
0–36.3%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
87%
3 or more goals
69%
4 or more goals
48%
5 or more goals
29%
Both teams score
64%

GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total: 1.19 for Lille and 2.37 for Bayern Munich.

Winning margin

Explained
Lille by 3
2%
Lille by 2
5%
Lille by 1
11%
Draw
19%
Bayern Munich by 3
12%
Bayern Munich by 2
19%
Bayern Munich by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lille expected goals1.19
Bayern Munich expected goals2.37
Lille keep a clean sheet9%
Bayern Munich keep a clean sheet30%
Lille win without conceding6%
Bayern Munich win without conceding27%
Lille score 2 or more33%
Bayern Munich score 2 or more68%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lille vs Bayern Munich?

GossipBall gives Lille a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bayern Munich 63%. GossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat Lille away from home.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Bayern Munich?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Lille, 2.4 for Bayern Munich). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Lille vs Bayern Munich?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Lille and Bayern Munich score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lille vs Bayern Munich?

There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total (1.2 for Lille, 2.4 for Bayern Munich).

When is Lille vs Bayern Munich?

Kick-off is Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC