Champions LeagueMatchday 5Wednesday 25 November 2026 ·

Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma prediction

predicted score
3–1
8.2% chance
13%
draw
9%
away win
Win probability: home 78%, draw 13%, away 9%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Roma at home in the Champions League on Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Paris Saint-Germain a 78% chance of winning, puts the draw at 13% and gives Roma 9%.

GossipBall expects 3.1 goals from Paris Saint-Germain and 1.0 from Roma, so goals look likely: there is a 77% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet in 37% of outcomes, Roma in 5%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
2
1
<1
<1
1
5
6
3
<1
<1
2
8
8
4
1
<1
3
8
8
4
1
<1
4
6
6
3
1
<1
5
4
4
2
<1
<1
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain goalsColumns: Roma goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–0 (8%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

3–08.3%
3–18.2%
2–08.1%
2–18.1%
4–06.4%
4–16.3%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
92%
3 or more goals
77%
4 or more goals
58%
5 or more goals
38%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total: 3.07 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.99 for Roma.

Winning margin

Explained
Paris Saint-Germain by 3
17%
Paris Saint-Germain by 2
20%
Paris Saint-Germain by 1
18%
Draw
13%
Roma by 3
1%
Roma by 2
2%
Roma by 1
6%

Each team's goals

Explained
Paris Saint-Germain expected goals3.07
Roma expected goals0.99
Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet37%
Roma keep a clean sheet5%
Paris Saint-Germain win without conceding35%
Roma win without conceding3%
Paris Saint-Germain score 2 or more81%
Roma score 2 or more26%

Questions and answers

Who will win Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma?

GossipBall gives Paris Saint-Germain a 78% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Roma 9%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Roma at home.

What is the predicted score for Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.1 for Paris Saint-Germain, 1.0 for Roma). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Paris Saint-Germain and Roma score.

Will there be three or more goals in Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma?

There is a 77% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.1 goals in total (3.1 for Paris Saint-Germain, 1.0 for Roma).

When is Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma?

Kick-off is Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC