Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites to beat Aston Villa away from home in the Champions League on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Aston Villa a 30% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Paris Saint-Germain 47%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Aston Villa and 2.0 from Paris Saint-Germain, so goals look likely: there is a 70% chance of three or more goals and a 69% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 13% of outcomes, Paris Saint-Germain in 20%.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total: 1.59 for Aston Villa and 2.01 for Paris Saint-Germain.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedQuestions and answers
Who will win Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?
GossipBall gives Aston Villa a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris Saint-Germain 47%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites to beat Aston Villa away from home.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Aston Villa, 2.0 for Paris Saint-Germain). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–2 (7%).
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?
GossipBall gives a 69% chance that both Aston Villa and Paris Saint-Germain score.
Will there be three or more goals in Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?
There is a 70% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total (1.6 for Aston Villa, 2.0 for Paris Saint-Germain).
When is Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.