Champions LeagueMatchday 6Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

30%
home win
predicted score
1–3
5.9% chance
22%
draw
Win probability: home 30%, draw 22%, away 47%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites to beat Aston Villa away from home in the Champions League on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Aston Villa a 30% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Paris Saint-Germain 47%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Aston Villa and 2.0 from Paris Saint-Germain, so goals look likely: there is a 70% chance of three or more goals and a 69% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 13% of outcomes, Paris Saint-Germain in 20%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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1
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3
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2
<1
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4
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1
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Rows: Aston Villa goalsColumns: Paris Saint-Germain goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–19.2%
1–28.8%
2–27.0%
2–16.9%
1–35.9%
0–25.5%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
88%
3 or more goals
70%
4 or more goals
48%
5 or more goals
29%
Both teams score
69%

GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total: 1.59 for Aston Villa and 2.01 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Winning margin

Explained
Aston Villa by 3
4%
Aston Villa by 2
9%
Aston Villa by 1
16%
Draw
22%
Paris Saint-Germain by 3
8%
Paris Saint-Germain by 2
14%
Paris Saint-Germain by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Aston Villa expected goals1.59
Paris Saint-Germain expected goals2.01
Aston Villa keep a clean sheet13%
Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet20%
Aston Villa win without conceding10%
Paris Saint-Germain win without conceding17%
Aston Villa score 2 or more47%
Paris Saint-Germain score 2 or more60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall gives Aston Villa a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris Saint-Germain 47%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain favourites to beat Aston Villa away from home.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–3, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Aston Villa, 2.0 for Paris Saint-Germain). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?

GossipBall gives a 69% chance that both Aston Villa and Paris Saint-Germain score.

Will there be three or more goals in Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?

There is a 70% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.6 goals in total (1.6 for Aston Villa, 2.0 for Paris Saint-Germain).

When is Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC