Champions LeagueMatchday 6Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

Roma vs Sporting CP prediction

53%
home win
predicted score
3–1
6.5% chance
21%
draw
26%
away win
Win probability: home 53%, draw 21%, away 26%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Roma favourites to beat Sporting CP at home in the Champions League on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Roma a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Sporting CP 26%.

GossipBall expects 2.2 goals from Roma and 1.5 from Sporting CP, so goals look likely: there is a 71% chance of three or more goals and a 69% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. Roma keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Sporting CP in 11%.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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Rows: Roma goalsColumns: Sporting CP goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–19.0%
1–18.7%
2–26.7%
3–16.5%
1–26.2%
2–06.0%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
89%
3 or more goals
71%
4 or more goals
50%
5 or more goals
31%
Both teams score
69%

GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total: 2.18 for Roma and 1.50 for Sporting CP.

Winning margin

Explained
Roma by 3
9%
Roma by 2
16%
Roma by 1
21%
Draw
21%
Sporting CP by 3
3%
Sporting CP by 2
7%
Sporting CP by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Roma expected goals2.18
Sporting CP expected goals1.50
Roma keep a clean sheet22%
Sporting CP keep a clean sheet11%
Roma win without conceding19%
Sporting CP win without conceding8%
Roma score 2 or more64%
Sporting CP score 2 or more44%

Questions and answers

Who will win Roma vs Sporting CP?

GossipBall gives Roma a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting CP 26%. GossipBall makes Roma favourites to beat Sporting CP at home.

What is the predicted score for Roma vs Sporting CP?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.2 for Roma, 1.5 for Sporting CP). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in Roma vs Sporting CP?

GossipBall gives a 69% chance that both Roma and Sporting CP score.

Will there be three or more goals in Roma vs Sporting CP?

There is a 71% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.7 goals in total (2.2 for Roma, 1.5 for Sporting CP).

When is Roma vs Sporting CP?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC