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Birmingham vs Bolton prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Birmingham favourites to beat Bolton at home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Birmingham a 58% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Bolton 20%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Birmingham and 1.1 from Bolton, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Birmingham keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Bolton in 13%.
Birmingham are 1st in the table with 29 points from 15 games; Bolton are 18th with 17. In their last five league games Birmingham took 12 points (WLWWW) and Bolton took 4 (DLLWL). This season Birmingham average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 1.37 against per game; Bolton average 1.36 for and 1.94 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.06 for Birmingham and 1.12 for Bolton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Birmingham vs Bolton?
GossipBall gives Birmingham a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bolton 20%. GossipBall makes Birmingham favourites to beat Bolton at home.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Bolton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Birmingham, 1.1 for Bolton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Bolton?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Birmingham and Bolton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Birmingham vs Bolton?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.1 for Birmingham, 1.1 for Bolton).
When is Birmingham vs Bolton?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.