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Birmingham vs Watford prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Birmingham favourites to beat Watford at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Birmingham a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Watford 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Birmingham and 0.9 from Watford, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Birmingham keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Watford in 19%.
Birmingham are 1st in the table with 29 points from 15 games; Watford are 20th with 15. In their last five league games Birmingham took 12 points (WLWWW) and Watford took 7 (WLLWD). This season Birmingham average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 1.37 against per game; Watford average 0.96 for and 1.77 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Birmingham won 1, Watford won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished Watford 3–0 Birmingham, a win for Watford.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.64 for Birmingham and 0.92 for Watford.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2022, Birmingham won 1, Watford won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished Watford 3–0 Birmingham, a win for Watford.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Birmingham vs Watford?
GossipBall gives Birmingham a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Watford 21%. GossipBall makes Birmingham favourites to beat Watford at home.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Watford?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Birmingham, 0.9 for Watford). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs Watford?
GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Birmingham and Watford score.
Will there be three or more goals in Birmingham vs Watford?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.6 for Birmingham, 0.9 for Watford).
When is Birmingham vs Watford?
Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Watford?
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Birmingham won 1, Watford won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished Watford 3–0 Birmingham, a win for Watford.