ChampionshipMatchday 17Wednesday 25 November 2026 ·

Bolton vs West Brom prediction

32%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.0% chance
26%
draw
43%
away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 26%, away 43%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Brom slight favourites to beat Bolton away from home in the Championship on Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Bolton a 32% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives West Brom 43%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Bolton and 1.5 from West Brom, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Bolton keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, West Brom in 27%.

Bolton are 18th in the table with 17 points from 15 games; West Brom are 6th with 28. In their last five league games Bolton took 4 points (DLLWL) and West Brom took 11 (WDWDW). This season Bolton average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; West Brom average 1.63 for and 1.36 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
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0
6
8
7
4
1
<1
1
7
12
9
5
2
<1
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5
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1
<1
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2
3
3
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<1
Rows: Bolton goalsColumns: West Brom goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.0%
1–29.0%
0–18.5%
2–17.6%
1–07.1%
0–26.9%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
54%
4 or more goals
32%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
58%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.31 for Bolton and 1.55 for West Brom.

Winning margin

Explained
Bolton by 3
3%
Bolton by 2
9%
Bolton by 1
18%
Draw
26%
West Brom by 3
6%
West Brom by 2
13%
West Brom by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Bolton expected goals1.31
West Brom expected goals1.55
Bolton keep a clean sheet21%
West Brom keep a clean sheet27%
Bolton win without conceding15%
West Brom win without conceding21%
Bolton score 2 or more38%
West Brom score 2 or more46%

Recent form

Bolton
L @ Derby1–3 · 6 Nov
W @ Charlton1–0 · 3 Nov
L v Bristol City2–3 · 31 Oct
L v Middlesbrough1–5 · 23 Oct
D @ Southampton0–0 · 17 Oct
West Brom
W v Millwall3–0 · 7 Nov
D v Southampton1–1 · 3 Nov
W @ West Ham3–1 · 31 Oct
D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

BOLWBA
1.33
Goals
1.53
1.93
Conceded
1.00
1.36
xG
1.63
1.94
xG against
1.36
14.1
Shots
12.9
4.7
On target
3.9
5.4
Corners
5.7
1.60
Yellow cards
1.87
27%
Clean sheets
20%
60%
Both score
67%
67%
3+ goals
47%

Questions and answers

Who will win Bolton vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives Bolton a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and West Brom 43%. GossipBall makes West Brom slight favourites to beat Bolton away from home.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs West Brom?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Bolton, 1.5 for West Brom). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Bolton vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Bolton and West Brom score.

Will there be three or more goals in Bolton vs West Brom?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.3 for Bolton, 1.5 for West Brom).

When is Bolton vs West Brom?

Kick-off is Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC