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Bolton vs Wrexham prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Wrexham slight favourites to beat Bolton away from home in the Championship on Friday 11 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Bolton a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Wrexham 42%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Bolton and 1.7 from Wrexham, so goals look likely: there is a 63% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Bolton keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Wrexham in 22%.
Bolton are 18th in the table with 17 points from 15 games; Wrexham are 15th with 18. In their last five league games Bolton took 4 points (DLLWL) and Wrexham took 7 (WLLWD). This season Bolton average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; Wrexham average 1.14 for and 1.22 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.52 for Bolton and 1.71 for Wrexham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bolton vs Wrexham?
GossipBall gives Bolton a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wrexham 42%. GossipBall makes Wrexham slight favourites to beat Bolton away from home.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Wrexham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Bolton, 1.7 for Wrexham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Bolton vs Wrexham?
GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Bolton and Wrexham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bolton vs Wrexham?
There is a 63% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.5 for Bolton, 1.7 for Wrexham).
When is Bolton vs Wrexham?
Kick-off is Friday 11 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.