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Bristol City vs Swansea prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bristol City slight favourites to beat Swansea at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Bristol City a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Swansea 32%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Bristol City and 1.2 from Swansea, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bristol City keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Swansea in 26%.
Bristol City are 17th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Swansea are 7th with 26. In their last five league games Bristol City took 4 points (LDWLL) and Swansea took 3 (LLWLL). This season Bristol City average 1.41 expected goals (xG) for and 1.50 against per game; Swansea average 1.61 for and 1.40 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bristol City won 3, Swansea won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Swansea 1–0 Bristol City, a win for Swansea.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.35 for Bristol City and 1.18 for Swansea.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bristol City won 3, Swansea won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Swansea 1–0 Bristol City, a win for Swansea.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bristol City vs Swansea?
GossipBall gives Bristol City a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Swansea 32%. GossipBall makes Bristol City slight favourites to beat Swansea at home.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Swansea?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Bristol City, 1.2 for Swansea). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Swansea?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Bristol City and Swansea score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bristol City vs Swansea?
There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.4 for Bristol City, 1.2 for Swansea).
When is Bristol City vs Swansea?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol City and Swansea?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bristol City won 3, Swansea won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Swansea 1–0 Bristol City, a win for Swansea.