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Bristol City vs Wrexham prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bristol City slight favourites to beat Wrexham at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Bristol City a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Wrexham 33%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Bristol City and 1.3 from Wrexham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bristol City keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Wrexham in 25%.
Bristol City are 17th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Wrexham are 15th with 18. In their last five league games Bristol City took 4 points (LDWLL) and Wrexham took 7 (WLLWD). This season Bristol City average 1.41 expected goals (xG) for and 1.50 against per game; Wrexham average 1.14 for and 1.22 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Bristol City won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.40 for Bristol City and 1.26 for Wrexham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2025, Bristol City won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bristol City vs Wrexham?
GossipBall gives Bristol City a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wrexham 33%. GossipBall makes Bristol City slight favourites to beat Wrexham at home.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Wrexham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Bristol City, 1.3 for Wrexham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Wrexham?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Bristol City and Wrexham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bristol City vs Wrexham?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.4 for Bristol City, 1.3 for Wrexham).
When is Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol City and Wrexham?
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Bristol City won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Feb 2026, was a 2–2 draw.