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Cardiff vs Lincoln prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Cardiff favourites to beat Lincoln at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Cardiff a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Lincoln 29%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Cardiff and 1.3 from Lincoln, so goals look likely: there is a 60% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Cardiff keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Lincoln in 17%.
Cardiff are 14th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Lincoln are 21st with 15. In their last five league games Cardiff took 8 points (DWLDW) and Lincoln took 4 (DWLLL). This season Cardiff average 1.99 expected goals (xG) for and 1.78 against per game; Lincoln average 1.32 for and 1.46 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.76 for Cardiff and 1.34 for Lincoln.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Cardiff vs Lincoln?
GossipBall gives Cardiff a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lincoln 29%. GossipBall makes Cardiff favourites to beat Lincoln at home.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Lincoln?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Cardiff, 1.3 for Lincoln). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Lincoln?
GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both Cardiff and Lincoln score.
Will there be three or more goals in Cardiff vs Lincoln?
There is a 60% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.8 for Cardiff, 1.3 for Lincoln).
When is Cardiff vs Lincoln?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.