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Cardiff vs Southampton prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Southampton favourites to beat Cardiff away from home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Cardiff a 27% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Southampton 51%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Cardiff and 2.0 from Southampton, so goals look likely: there is a 67% chance of three or more goals and a 67% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Cardiff keep a clean sheet in 13% of outcomes, Southampton in 24%.
Cardiff are 14th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Southampton are 4th with 28. In their last five league games Cardiff took 8 points (DWLDW) and Southampton took 8 (DWWDL). This season Cardiff average 1.99 expected goals (xG) for and 1.78 against per game; Southampton average 1.72 for and 1.34 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2023, Cardiff won 1, Southampton won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Apr 2024, finished Cardiff 2–1 Southampton, a win for Cardiff.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 1.44 for Cardiff and 2.02 for Southampton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2023, Cardiff won 1, Southampton won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Apr 2024, finished Cardiff 2–1 Southampton, a win for Cardiff.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Cardiff vs Southampton?
GossipBall gives Cardiff a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southampton 51%. GossipBall makes Southampton favourites to beat Cardiff away from home.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Southampton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Cardiff, 2.0 for Southampton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–2 (7%).
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Southampton?
GossipBall gives a 67% chance that both Cardiff and Southampton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Cardiff vs Southampton?
There is a 67% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (1.4 for Cardiff, 2.0 for Southampton).
When is Cardiff vs Southampton?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Southampton?
In 2 league meetings since 2023, Cardiff won 1, Southampton won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Apr 2024, finished Cardiff 2–1 Southampton, a win for Cardiff.