Español
Português
Derby vs Bristol City prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Derby slight favourites to beat Bristol City at home in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Derby a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Bristol City 33%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Derby and 1.2 from Bristol City, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Derby keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Bristol City in 26%.
Derby are 23rd in the table with 10 points from 15 games; Bristol City are 17th with 18. In their last five league games Derby took 4 points (LDLLW) and Bristol City took 4 (LDWLL). This season Derby average 1.05 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; Bristol City average 1.41 for and 1.50 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 2, Bristol City won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Bristol City 0–5 Derby, a win for Derby.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.36 for Derby and 1.21 for Bristol City.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 2, Bristol City won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Bristol City 0–5 Derby, a win for Derby.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Derby vs Bristol City?
GossipBall gives Derby a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bristol City 33%. GossipBall makes Derby slight favourites to beat Bristol City at home.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Bristol City?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Derby, 1.2 for Bristol City). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Derby vs Bristol City?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Derby and Bristol City score.
Will there be three or more goals in Derby vs Bristol City?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.4 for Derby, 1.2 for Bristol City).
When is Derby vs Bristol City?
Kick-off is Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Bristol City?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Derby won 2, Bristol City won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Jan 2026, finished Bristol City 0–5 Derby, a win for Derby.