Lincoln vs Stoke prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Lincoln slight favourites to beat Stoke at home in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Lincoln a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Stoke 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Lincoln and 1.1 from Stoke, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lincoln keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Stoke in 27%.
Lincoln are 21st in the table with 15 points from 15 games; Stoke are 3rd with 29. In their last five league games Lincoln took 4 points (DWLLL) and Stoke took 13 (WDWWW). This season Lincoln average 1.32 expected goals (xG) for and 1.46 against per game; Stoke average 1.02 for and 1.45 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.32 for Lincoln and 1.12 for Stoke.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lincoln vs Stoke?
GossipBall gives Lincoln a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Stoke 31%. GossipBall makes Lincoln slight favourites to beat Stoke at home.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Stoke?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Lincoln, 1.1 for Stoke). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Lincoln vs Stoke?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Lincoln and Stoke score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lincoln vs Stoke?
There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.3 for Lincoln, 1.1 for Stoke).
When is Lincoln vs Stoke?
Kick-off is Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.