ChampionshipMatchday 18Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Lincoln vs Wolves prediction

22%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.7% chance
25%
draw
53%
away win
Win probability: home 22%, draw 25%, away 53%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Lincoln away from home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Lincoln a 22% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Wolves 53%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Lincoln and 1.7 from Wolves, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Lincoln keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Wolves in 36%.

Lincoln are 21st in the table with 15 points from 15 games; Wolves are 5th with 28. In their last five league games Lincoln took 4 points (DWLLL) and Wolves took 11 (DWWWD). This season Lincoln average 1.32 expected goals (xG) for and 1.46 against per game; Wolves average 1.76 for and 0.93 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
11
10
5
2
<1
1
6
12
10
6
2
<1
2
3
6
5
3
1
<1
3
1
2
2
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
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<1
Rows: Lincoln goalsColumns: Wolves goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.8%
0–110.9%
1–29.7%
0–29.6%
0–07.0%
1–06.3%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.01 for Lincoln and 1.70 for Wolves.

Winning margin

Explained
Lincoln by 3
2%
Lincoln by 2
6%
Lincoln by 1
14%
Draw
25%
Wolves by 3
8%
Wolves by 2
16%
Wolves by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lincoln expected goals1.01
Wolves expected goals1.70
Lincoln keep a clean sheet18%
Wolves keep a clean sheet36%
Lincoln win without conceding11%
Wolves win without conceding29%
Lincoln score 2 or more27%
Wolves score 2 or more51%

Recent form

Lincoln
L @ QPR1–2 · 7 Nov
L @ Watford0–1 · 3 Nov
L v Birmingham1–3 · 31 Oct
W v Burnley4–1 · 24 Oct
D @ Millwall2–2 · 17 Oct
Wolves
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 7 Nov
W @ Bristol City2–1 · 4 Nov
W v Cardiff3–0 · 31 Oct
W v Watford1–0 · 24 Oct
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

LINWOL
1.00
Goals
1.73
1.73
Conceded
1.20
1.32
xG
1.76
1.46
xG against
0.93
12.3
Shots
16.9
3.1
On target
4.5
3.5
Corners
6.7
2.20
Yellow cards
1.93
27%
Clean sheets
27%
53%
Both score
67%
60%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lincoln vs Wolves?

GossipBall gives Lincoln a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wolves 53%. GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Lincoln away from home.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Wolves?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Lincoln, 1.7 for Wolves). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).

Will both teams score in Lincoln vs Wolves?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Lincoln and Wolves score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lincoln vs Wolves?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.0 for Lincoln, 1.7 for Wolves).

When is Lincoln vs Wolves?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC