ChampionshipMatchday 16Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Lincoln vs Wrexham prediction

36%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.5% chance
26%
draw
38%
away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 26%, away 38%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Lincoln against Wrexham as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Lincoln a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Wrexham 38%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Lincoln and 1.4 from Wrexham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Lincoln keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Wrexham in 26%.

Lincoln are 19th in the table with 15 points from 14 games; Wrexham are 16th with 17. In their last five league games Lincoln took 4 points (LDWLL) and Wrexham took 6 (LWLLW). This season Lincoln average 1.30 expected goals (xG) for and 1.44 against per game; Wrexham average 1.14 for and 1.19 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
8
6
3
1
<1
1
8
12
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
6
3
<1
<1
3
3
4
3
1
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Lincoln goalsColumns: Wrexham goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.4%
1–28.5%
0–18.4%
2–18.2%
1–08.1%
0–06.6%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
77%
3 or more goals
53%
4 or more goals
30%
5 or more goals
15%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.36 for Lincoln and 1.42 for Wrexham.

Winning margin

Explained
Lincoln by 3
4%
Lincoln by 2
10%
Lincoln by 1
19%
Draw
26%
Wrexham by 3
5%
Wrexham by 2
11%
Wrexham by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Lincoln expected goals1.36
Wrexham expected goals1.42
Lincoln keep a clean sheet24%
Wrexham keep a clean sheet26%
Lincoln win without conceding18%
Wrexham win without conceding19%
Lincoln score 2 or more40%
Wrexham score 2 or more41%

Recent form

Lincoln
L @ Watford0–1 · 3 Nov
L v Birmingham1–3 · 31 Oct
W v Burnley4–1 · 24 Oct
D @ Millwall2–2 · 17 Oct
L v West Ham0–6 · 14 Oct
Wrexham
W v Middlesbrough2–0 · 4 Nov
L @ Sheffield United0–1 · 30 Oct
L @ Blackburn0–2 · 24 Oct
W v Preston4–1 · 17 Oct
L v West Brom1–2 · 13 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

LINWRE
1.00
Goals
1.21
1.71
Conceded
1.36
1.30
xG
1.14
1.44
xG against
1.19
12.3
Shots
12.4
3.1
On target
3.4
3.6
Corners
4.9
2.36
Yellow cards
1.29
29%
Clean sheets
21%
50%
Both score
57%
57%
3+ goals
43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Lincoln vs Wrexham?

GossipBall gives Lincoln a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wrexham 38%. GossipBall sees Lincoln against Wrexham as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Wrexham?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Lincoln, 1.4 for Wrexham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (8%), 0–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Lincoln vs Wrexham?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Lincoln and Wrexham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Lincoln vs Wrexham?

There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.4 for Lincoln, 1.4 for Wrexham).

When is Lincoln vs Wrexham?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC