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Middlesbrough vs Bristol City prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Middlesbrough favourites to beat Bristol City at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Middlesbrough a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Bristol City 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Middlesbrough and 1.0 from Bristol City, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet in 37% of outcomes, Bristol City in 17%.
Middlesbrough are 2nd in the table with 28 points from 14 games; Bristol City are 15th with 18. In their last five league games Middlesbrough took 10 points (WDWWL) and Bristol City took 4 (LLDWL). This season Middlesbrough average 2.04 expected goals (xG) for and 1.00 against per game; Bristol City average 1.40 for and 1.40 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 1, Bristol City won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.76 for Middlesbrough and 0.99 for Bristol City.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 1, Bristol City won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
GossipBall gives Middlesbrough a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bristol City 21%. GossipBall makes Middlesbrough favourites to beat Bristol City at home.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Middlesbrough, 1.0 for Bristol City). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Middlesbrough and Bristol City score.
Will there be three or more goals in Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.8 for Middlesbrough, 1.0 for Bristol City).
When is Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Bristol City?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 1, Bristol City won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.