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Middlesbrough vs Swansea prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Middlesbrough favourites to beat Swansea at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Middlesbrough a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Swansea 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Middlesbrough and 1.0 from Swansea, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Swansea in 17%.
Middlesbrough are 2nd in the table with 29 points from 15 games; Swansea are 7th with 26. In their last five league games Middlesbrough took 8 points (DWWLD) and Swansea took 3 (LLWLL). This season Middlesbrough average 2.04 expected goals (xG) for and 0.96 against per game; Swansea average 1.61 for and 1.40 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 7, Swansea won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.78 for Middlesbrough and 1.02 for Swansea.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 7, Swansea won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Swansea?
GossipBall gives Middlesbrough a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swansea 21%. GossipBall makes Middlesbrough favourites to beat Swansea at home.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Swansea?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Middlesbrough, 1.0 for Swansea). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Swansea?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Middlesbrough and Swansea score.
Will there be three or more goals in Middlesbrough vs Swansea?
There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.8 for Middlesbrough, 1.0 for Swansea).
When is Middlesbrough vs Swansea?
Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Swansea?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Middlesbrough won 7, Swansea won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.