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Millwall vs Burnley prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Millwall against Burnley as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Millwall a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Burnley 35%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Millwall and 1.2 from Burnley, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 44% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Millwall keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Burnley in 29%.
Millwall are 16th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Burnley are 22nd with 10. In their last five league games Millwall took 4 points (DLWLL) and Burnley took 2 (LLDDL). This season Millwall average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; Burnley average 1.33 for and 1.75 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Millwall won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Burnley 3–1 Millwall, a win for Burnley.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.24 for Millwall and 1.19 for Burnley.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2022, Millwall won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Burnley 3–1 Millwall, a win for Burnley.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Millwall vs Burnley?
GossipBall gives Millwall a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Burnley 35%. GossipBall sees Millwall against Burnley as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Burnley?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Millwall, 1.2 for Burnley). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Burnley?
GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Millwall and Burnley score.
Will there be three or more goals in Millwall vs Burnley?
There is a 44% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.2 for Millwall, 1.2 for Burnley).
When is Millwall vs Burnley?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Burnley?
In 4 league meetings since 2022, Millwall won 1, Burnley won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Burnley 3–1 Millwall, a win for Burnley.