ChampionshipMatchday 20Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

Millwall vs Sheffield United prediction

43%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.8% chance
27%
draw
29%
away win
Win probability: home 43%, draw 27%, away 29%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Millwall slight favourites to beat Sheffield United at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Millwall a 43% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Sheffield United 29%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Millwall and 1.1 from Sheffield United, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Millwall keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Sheffield United in 25%.

Millwall are 16th in the table with 18 points from 15 games; Sheffield United are 10th with 22. In their last five league games Millwall took 4 points (DLWLL) and Sheffield United took 10 (WDWWL). This season Millwall average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; Sheffield United average 1.29 for and 1.35 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Millwall won 5, Sheffield United won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
9
5
2
<1
<1
1
11
13
7
3
<1
<1
2
8
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
4
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Millwall goalsColumns: Sheffield United goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.0%
1–010.9%
2–18.8%
0–18.6%
0–08.5%
2–07.9%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
72%
3 or more goals
46%
4 or more goals
25%
5 or more goals
11%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.40 for Millwall and 1.11 for Sheffield United.

Winning margin

Explained
Millwall by 3
5%
Millwall by 2
13%
Millwall by 1
22%
Draw
27%
Sheffield United by 3
3%
Sheffield United by 2
8%
Sheffield United by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Millwall expected goals1.40
Sheffield United expected goals1.11
Millwall keep a clean sheet33%
Sheffield United keep a clean sheet25%
Millwall win without conceding24%
Sheffield United win without conceding16%
Millwall score 2 or more41%
Sheffield United score 2 or more31%

Recent form

Millwall
L @ West Brom0–3 · 7 Nov
L @ Birmingham0–3 · 3 Nov
W v Derby4–1 · 31 Oct
L @ Portsmouth1–2 · 24 Oct
D v Lincoln2–2 · 17 Oct
Sheffield United
L @ Charlton1–2 · 7 Nov
W @ Preston3–2 · 3 Nov
W v Wrexham1–0 · 30 Oct
D v Derby1–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Millwall won 5, Sheffield United won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Millwall 1–1 Sheffield United31 Jan 2026
Sheffield United 0–1 Millwall23 Aug 2025
Sheffield United 0–1 Millwall8 Apr 2025
Millwall 0–1 Sheffield United11 Dec 2024
Millwall 3–2 Sheffield United18 Feb 2023
Sheffield United 2–0 Millwall6 Aug 2022

Season averages per game

MILSHE
1.53
Goals
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.27
1.78
xG
1.29
1.45
xG against
1.35
14.0
Shots
11.5
3.9
On target
4.1
5.3
Corners
3.9
2.07
Yellow cards
1.93
27%
Clean sheets
33%
47%
Both score
60%
80%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Millwall vs Sheffield United?

GossipBall gives Millwall a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sheffield United 29%. GossipBall makes Millwall slight favourites to beat Sheffield United at home.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Sheffield United?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Millwall, 1.1 for Sheffield United). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Millwall vs Sheffield United?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Millwall and Sheffield United score.

Will there be three or more goals in Millwall vs Sheffield United?

There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.4 for Millwall, 1.1 for Sheffield United).

When is Millwall vs Sheffield United?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Sheffield United?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Millwall won 5, Sheffield United won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC