ChampionshipMatchday 21Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Sheffield United vs Burnley prediction

37%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.2% chance
27%
draw
36%
away win
Win probability: home 37%, draw 27%, away 36%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Sheffield United against Burnley as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Sheffield United a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Burnley 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Sheffield United and 1.3 from Burnley, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Sheffield United keep a clean sheet in 28% of outcomes, Burnley in 27%.

Sheffield United are 10th in the table with 22 points from 15 games; Burnley are 22nd with 10. In their last five league games Sheffield United took 10 points (WDWWL) and Burnley took 2 (LLDDL). This season Sheffield United average 1.29 expected goals (xG) for and 1.35 against per game; Burnley average 1.33 for and 1.75 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2022, Sheffield United won 1, Burnley won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2025, finished Burnley 2–1 Sheffield United, a win for Burnley.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
9
6
3
<1
<1
1
9
13
8
3
1
<1
2
6
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Sheffield United goalsColumns: Burnley goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.1%
1–09.5%
0–19.3%
2–18.2%
0–08.0%
1–28.0%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.30 for Sheffield United and 1.27 for Burnley.

Winning margin

Explained
Sheffield United by 3
4%
Sheffield United by 2
11%
Sheffield United by 1
20%
Draw
27%
Burnley by 3
4%
Burnley by 2
10%
Burnley by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Sheffield United expected goals1.30
Burnley expected goals1.27
Sheffield United keep a clean sheet28%
Burnley keep a clean sheet27%
Sheffield United win without conceding20%
Burnley win without conceding19%
Sheffield United score 2 or more37%
Burnley score 2 or more36%

Recent form

Sheffield United
L @ Charlton1–2 · 7 Nov
W @ Preston3–2 · 3 Nov
W v Wrexham1–0 · 30 Oct
D v Derby1–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 17 Oct
Burnley
L @ Cardiff4–5 · 7 Nov
D @ QPR1–1 · 3 Nov
D v Portsmouth0–0 · 31 Oct
L @ Lincoln1–4 · 24 Oct
L v Wolves1–2 · 16 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2022, Sheffield United won 1, Burnley won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2025, finished Burnley 2–1 Sheffield United, a win for Burnley.

Burnley 2–1 Sheffield United21 Apr 2025
Sheffield United 0–2 Burnley26 Dec 2024
Burnley 2–0 Sheffield United10 Apr 2023
Sheffield United 5–2 Burnley5 Nov 2022

Season averages per game

SHEBUR
1.40
Goals
1.47
1.27
Conceded
2.07
1.29
xG
1.33
1.35
xG against
1.75
11.5
Shots
13.5
4.1
On target
4.2
3.9
Corners
4.5
1.93
Yellow cards
1.93
33%
Clean sheets
13%
60%
Both score
87%
60%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Sheffield United vs Burnley?

GossipBall gives Sheffield United a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Burnley 36%. GossipBall sees Sheffield United against Burnley as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield United vs Burnley?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Sheffield United, 1.3 for Burnley). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Burnley?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Sheffield United and Burnley score.

Will there be three or more goals in Sheffield United vs Burnley?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for Sheffield United, 1.3 for Burnley).

When is Sheffield United vs Burnley?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield United and Burnley?

In 4 league meetings since 2022, Sheffield United won 1, Burnley won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2025, finished Burnley 2–1 Sheffield United, a win for Burnley.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC