ChampionshipMatchday 17Tuesday 24 November 2026 ·

Sheffield United vs Southampton prediction

35%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.7% chance
25%
draw
40%
away win
Win probability: home 35%, draw 25%, away 40%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Southampton slight favourites to beat Sheffield United away from home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Sheffield United a 35% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Southampton 40%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Sheffield United and 1.5 from Southampton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Sheffield United keep a clean sheet in 21% of outcomes, Southampton in 24%.

Sheffield United are 10th in the table with 22 points from 15 games; Southampton are 4th with 28. In their last five league games Sheffield United took 10 points (WDWWL) and Southampton took 8 (DWWDL). This season Sheffield United average 1.29 expected goals (xG) for and 1.35 against per game; Southampton average 1.72 for and 1.34 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Sheffield United won 0, Southampton won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2026, finished Southampton 1–0 Sheffield United, a win for Southampton.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
7
6
3
1
<1
1
7
12
9
4
2
<1
2
5
8
6
3
1
<1
3
3
4
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
1
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Sheffield United goalsColumns: Southampton goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.7%
1–28.7%
2–18.1%
0–17.5%
1–06.9%
2–26.2%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.44 for Sheffield United and 1.54 for Southampton.

Winning margin

Explained
Sheffield United by 3
4%
Sheffield United by 2
10%
Sheffield United by 1
19%
Draw
25%
Southampton by 3
5%
Southampton by 2
12%
Southampton by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Sheffield United expected goals1.44
Southampton expected goals1.54
Sheffield United keep a clean sheet21%
Southampton keep a clean sheet24%
Sheffield United win without conceding16%
Southampton win without conceding18%
Sheffield United score 2 or more42%
Southampton score 2 or more46%

Recent form

Sheffield United
L @ Charlton1–2 · 7 Nov
W @ Preston3–2 · 3 Nov
W v Wrexham1–0 · 30 Oct
D v Derby1–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 17 Oct
Southampton
L @ Preston0–1 · 7 Nov
D @ West Brom1–1 · 3 Nov
W v QPR4–1 · 31 Oct
W @ West Ham3–2 · 24 Oct
D v Bolton0–0 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Sheffield United won 0, Southampton won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2026, finished Southampton 1–0 Sheffield United, a win for Southampton.

Southampton 1–0 Sheffield United21 Jan 2026
Sheffield United 1–2 Southampton30 Sep 2025

Season averages per game

SHESOU
1.40
Goals
1.93
1.27
Conceded
1.00
1.29
xG
1.72
1.35
xG against
1.34
11.5
Shots
15.6
4.1
On target
5.0
3.9
Corners
5.6
1.93
Yellow cards
1.67
33%
Clean sheets
20%
60%
Both score
73%
60%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win Sheffield United vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives Sheffield United a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Southampton 40%. GossipBall makes Southampton slight favourites to beat Sheffield United away from home.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield United vs Southampton?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Sheffield United, 1.5 for Southampton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Sheffield United and Southampton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Sheffield United vs Southampton?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.4 for Sheffield United, 1.5 for Southampton).

When is Sheffield United vs Southampton?

Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield United and Southampton?

In 2 league meetings since 2025, Sheffield United won 0, Southampton won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Jan 2026, finished Southampton 1–0 Sheffield United, a win for Southampton.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC