ChampionshipMatchday 16Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Sheffield United vs Watford prediction

55%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
25%
draw
21%
away win
Win probability: home 55%, draw 25%, away 21%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Sheffield United favourites to beat Watford at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Sheffield United a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Watford 21%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Sheffield United and 0.9 from Watford, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 50% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Sheffield United keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Watford in 18%.

Sheffield United are 9th in the table with 22 points from 14 games; Watford are 20th with 14. In their last five league games Sheffield United took 10 points (LWDWW) and Watford took 6 (LWLLW). This season Sheffield United average 1.31 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Watford average 1.01 for and 1.75 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Sheffield United won 5, Watford won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Sheffield United, a win for Sheffield United.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
6
3
1
<1
1
12
12
5
2
<1
2
10
10
5
1
<1
3
6
5
3
<1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Sheffield United goalsColumns: Watford goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.8%
1–011.7%
2–010.2%
2–19.7%
0–07.5%
0–16.4%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
49%
4 or more goals
27%
5 or more goals
13%
Both teams score
50%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.70 for Sheffield United and 0.95 for Watford.

Winning margin

Explained
Sheffield United by 3
9%
Sheffield United by 2
17%
Sheffield United by 1
24%
Draw
25%
Watford by 3
1%
Watford by 2
5%
Watford by 1
13%

Each team's goals

Explained
Sheffield United expected goals1.70
Watford expected goals0.95
Sheffield United keep a clean sheet39%
Watford keep a clean sheet18%
Sheffield United win without conceding31%
Watford win without conceding11%
Sheffield United score 2 or more51%
Watford score 2 or more25%

Recent form

Sheffield United
W @ Preston3–2 · 3 Nov
W v Wrexham1–0 · 30 Oct
D v Derby1–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Bristol City1–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Portsmouth2–3 · 14 Oct
Watford
W v Lincoln1–0 · 3 Nov
L @ Norwich2–3 · 31 Oct
L @ Wolves0–1 · 24 Oct
W v Charlton2–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Cardiff1–5 · 13 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Sheffield United won 5, Watford won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Sheffield United, a win for Sheffield United.

Watford 0–2 Sheffield United18 Apr 2026
Sheffield United 1–0 Watford18 Oct 2025
Watford 1–2 Sheffield United4 Jan 2025
Sheffield United 1–0 Watford1 Sep 2024
Sheffield United 1–0 Watford25 Feb 2023
Watford 1–0 Sheffield United1 Aug 2022

Season averages per game

SHEWAT
1.43
Goals
0.93
1.21
Conceded
1.64
1.31
xG
1.01
1.36
xG against
1.75
11.4
Shots
12.4
3.9
On target
3.9
3.8
Corners
3.6
1.86
Yellow cards
2.79
36%
Clean sheets
14%
57%
Both score
50%
57%
3+ goals
43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Sheffield United vs Watford?

GossipBall gives Sheffield United a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Watford 21%. GossipBall makes Sheffield United favourites to beat Watford at home.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield United vs Watford?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Sheffield United, 0.9 for Watford). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Watford?

GossipBall gives a 50% chance that both Sheffield United and Watford score.

Will there be three or more goals in Sheffield United vs Watford?

There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.7 for Sheffield United, 0.9 for Watford).

When is Sheffield United vs Watford?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield United and Watford?

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Sheffield United won 5, Watford won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Sheffield United, a win for Sheffield United.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC