Español
Português
Southampton vs Burnley prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Southampton favourites to beat Burnley at home in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Southampton a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Burnley 28%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Southampton and 1.2 from Burnley, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Southampton keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Burnley in 19%.
Southampton are 4th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Burnley are 22nd with 10. In their last five league games Southampton took 8 points (DWWDL) and Burnley took 2 (LLDDL). This season Southampton average 1.72 expected goals (xG) for and 1.34 against per game; Burnley average 1.33 for and 1.75 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.69 for Southampton and 1.25 for Burnley.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Southampton vs Burnley?
GossipBall gives Southampton a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burnley 28%. GossipBall makes Southampton favourites to beat Burnley at home.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Burnley?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Southampton, 1.2 for Burnley). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Burnley?
GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Southampton and Burnley score.
Will there be three or more goals in Southampton vs Burnley?
There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.7 for Southampton, 1.2 for Burnley).
When is Southampton vs Burnley?
Kick-off is Wednesday 9 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.