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Stoke vs Birmingham prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Stoke against Birmingham as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Stoke a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Birmingham 37%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Stoke and 1.2 from Birmingham, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 41% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Stoke keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Birmingham in 32%.
Stoke are 5th in the table with 26 points from 14 games; Birmingham are 4th with 26. In their last five league games Stoke took 10 points (LWDWW) and Birmingham took 12 (WWLWW). This season Stoke average 1.03 expected goals (xG) for and 1.52 against per game; Birmingham average 1.70 for and 1.40 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Birmingham won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.14 for Stoke and 1.20 for Birmingham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Birmingham won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Stoke vs Birmingham?
GossipBall gives Stoke a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Birmingham 37%. GossipBall sees Stoke against Birmingham as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Birmingham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Stoke, 1.2 for Birmingham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Stoke vs Birmingham?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Stoke and Birmingham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Stoke vs Birmingham?
There is a 41% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.1 for Stoke, 1.2 for Birmingham).
When is Stoke vs Birmingham?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke and Birmingham?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, Birmingham won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.