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Stoke vs Millwall prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Millwall slight favourites to beat Stoke away from home in the Championship on Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Stoke a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Millwall 37%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Stoke and 1.2 from Millwall, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 39% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Stoke keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Millwall in 34%.
Stoke are 3rd in the table with 29 points from 15 games; Millwall are 16th with 18. In their last five league games Stoke took 13 points (WDWWW) and Millwall took 4 (DLWLL). This season Stoke average 1.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; Millwall average 1.78 for and 1.45 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 1, Millwall won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Stoke 1–3 Millwall, a win for Millwall.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 11 November 2026, 06:07 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.09 for Stoke and 1.18 for Millwall.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 1, Millwall won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Stoke 1–3 Millwall, a win for Millwall.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Stoke vs Millwall?
GossipBall gives Stoke a 33% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Millwall 37%. GossipBall makes Millwall slight favourites to beat Stoke away from home.
What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Millwall?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Stoke, 1.2 for Millwall). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Stoke vs Millwall?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Stoke and Millwall score.
Will there be three or more goals in Stoke vs Millwall?
There is a 39% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.1 for Stoke, 1.2 for Millwall).
When is Stoke vs Millwall?
Kick-off is Wednesday 25 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke and Millwall?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 1, Millwall won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, finished Stoke 1–3 Millwall, a win for Millwall.