ChampionshipMatchday 21Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Stoke vs West Brom prediction

34%
home win
predicted score
1–2
7.5% chance
30%
draw
36%
away win
Win probability: home 34%, draw 30%, away 36%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Stoke against West Brom as too close to call in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Stoke a 34% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives West Brom 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Stoke and 1.1 from West Brom, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 38% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Stoke keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, West Brom in 34%.

Stoke are 3rd in the table with 29 points from 15 games; West Brom are 6th with 28. In their last five league games Stoke took 13 points (WDWWW) and West Brom took 11 (WDWDW). This season Stoke average 1.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; West Brom average 1.63 for and 1.36 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, West Brom won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
12
12
7
3
<1
<1
1
11
14
8
3
<1
<1
2
6
7
4
2
<1
<1
3
2
3
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
Rows: Stoke goalsColumns: West Brom goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.9%
0–112.1%
0–011.6%
1–011.5%
1–27.5%
2–17.2%
1 or more goals
88%
2 or more goals
65%
3 or more goals
38%
4 or more goals
18%
5 or more goals
7%
Both teams score
45%

GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.07 for Stoke and 1.12 for West Brom.

Winning margin

Explained
Stoke by 3
3%
Stoke by 2
9%
Stoke by 1
20%
Draw
30%
West Brom by 3
4%
West Brom by 2
10%
West Brom by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Stoke expected goals1.07
West Brom expected goals1.12
Stoke keep a clean sheet33%
West Brom keep a clean sheet34%
Stoke win without conceding21%
West Brom win without conceding23%
Stoke score 2 or more29%
West Brom score 2 or more31%

Recent form

Stoke
W @ Portsmouth2–1 · 7 Nov
W @ Blackburn2–1 · 3 Nov
W v Preston2–0 · 31 Oct
D v Bristol City0–0 · 24 Oct
W @ Derby1–0 · 17 Oct
West Brom
W v Millwall3–0 · 7 Nov
D v Southampton1–1 · 3 Nov
W @ West Ham3–1 · 31 Oct
D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, West Brom won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

West Brom 0–0 Stoke7 Feb 2026
Stoke 0–1 West Brom30 Aug 2025
West Brom 1–1 Stoke18 Jan 2025
Stoke 1–2 West Brom24 Aug 2024
Stoke 2–2 West Brom6 Apr 2024
West Brom 1–1 Stoke17 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

STKWBA
1.60
Goals
1.53
1.20
Conceded
1.00
1.02
xG
1.63
1.45
xG against
1.36
11.3
Shots
12.9
3.6
On target
3.9
4.5
Corners
5.7
2.00
Yellow cards
1.87
33%
Clean sheets
20%
67%
Both score
67%
67%
3+ goals
47%

Questions and answers

Who will win Stoke vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives Stoke a 34% chance of winning, the draw 30% and West Brom 36%. GossipBall sees Stoke against West Brom as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Stoke vs West Brom?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Stoke, 1.1 for West Brom). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (12%), 0–0 (12%).

Will both teams score in Stoke vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Stoke and West Brom score.

Will there be three or more goals in Stoke vs West Brom?

There is a 38% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.1 for Stoke, 1.1 for West Brom).

When is Stoke vs West Brom?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke and West Brom?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Stoke won 2, West Brom won 4 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC