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Swansea vs Bolton prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Swansea favourites to beat Bolton at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Swansea a 56% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Bolton 22%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Swansea and 1.2 from Bolton, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Swansea keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Bolton in 14%.
Swansea are 7th in the table with 26 points from 15 games; Bolton are 18th with 17. In their last five league games Swansea took 3 points (LLWLL) and Bolton took 4 (DLLWL). This season Swansea average 1.61 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Bolton average 1.36 for and 1.94 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.98 for Swansea and 1.18 for Bolton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Swansea vs Bolton?
GossipBall gives Swansea a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bolton 22%. GossipBall makes Swansea favourites to beat Bolton at home.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Bolton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Swansea, 1.2 for Bolton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Bolton?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Swansea and Bolton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Swansea vs Bolton?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.0 for Swansea, 1.2 for Bolton).
When is Swansea vs Bolton?
Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.