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Swansea vs Cardiff prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Swansea favourites to beat Cardiff at home in the Championship on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC. It gives Swansea a 51% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Cardiff 26%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Swansea and 1.2 from Cardiff, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Swansea keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Cardiff in 16%.
Swansea are 7th in the table with 26 points from 15 games; Cardiff are 14th with 18. In their last five league games Swansea took 3 points (LLWLL) and Cardiff took 8 (DWLDW). This season Swansea average 1.61 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Cardiff average 1.99 for and 1.78 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 5, Cardiff won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Cardiff 3–0 Swansea, a win for Cardiff.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.82 for Swansea and 1.23 for Cardiff.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 5, Cardiff won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Cardiff 3–0 Swansea, a win for Cardiff.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Swansea vs Cardiff?
GossipBall gives Swansea a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cardiff 26%. GossipBall makes Swansea favourites to beat Cardiff at home.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Cardiff?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Swansea, 1.2 for Cardiff). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Cardiff?
GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Swansea and Cardiff score.
Will there be three or more goals in Swansea vs Cardiff?
There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.8 for Swansea, 1.2 for Cardiff).
When is Swansea vs Cardiff?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and Cardiff?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 5, Cardiff won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2025, finished Cardiff 3–0 Swansea, a win for Cardiff.