ChampionshipMatchday 16Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Swansea vs West Brom prediction

41%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.4% chance
28%
draw
30%
away win
Win probability: home 41%, draw 28%, away 30%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Swansea slight favourites to beat West Brom at home in the Championship on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Swansea a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives West Brom 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Swansea and 1.1 from West Brom, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Swansea keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, West Brom in 27%.

Swansea are 6th in the table with 26 points from 14 games; West Brom are 7th with 25. In their last five league games Swansea took 6 points (WLLWL) and West Brom took 11 (WWDWD). This season Swansea average 1.65 expected goals (xG) for and 1.29 against per game; West Brom average 1.52 for and 1.43 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 6, West Brom won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished Swansea 1–0 West Brom, a win for Swansea.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
10
5
2
<1
<1
1
12
13
7
3
<1
<1
2
8
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
2
<1
<1
4
1
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Swansea goalsColumns: West Brom goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.4%
1–011.6%
0–09.7%
0–19.6%
2–18.4%
2–07.8%
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
69%
3 or more goals
43%
4 or more goals
22%
5 or more goals
9%
Both teams score
48%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.30 for Swansea and 1.08 for West Brom.

Winning margin

Explained
Swansea by 3
5%
Swansea by 2
12%
Swansea by 1
22%
Draw
28%
West Brom by 3
3%
West Brom by 2
8%
West Brom by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Swansea expected goals1.30
West Brom expected goals1.08
Swansea keep a clean sheet34%
West Brom keep a clean sheet27%
Swansea win without conceding24%
West Brom win without conceding18%
Swansea score 2 or more37%
West Brom score 2 or more29%

Recent form

Swansea
L @ Portsmouth1–3 · 3 Nov
W v Blackburn4–0 · 31 Oct
L @ QPR0–5 · 24 Oct
L v West Ham0–1 · 17 Oct
W @ Millwall1–0 · 13 Oct
West Brom
D v Southampton1–1 · 3 Nov
W @ West Ham3–1 · 31 Oct
D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct
W @ Wrexham2–1 · 13 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 6, West Brom won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished Swansea 1–0 West Brom, a win for Swansea.

Swansea 1–0 West Brom1 Jan 2026
West Brom 3–2 Swansea29 Nov 2025
Swansea 1–1 West Brom4 Jan 2025
West Brom 1–0 Swansea31 Aug 2024
Swansea 1–0 West Brom1 Jan 2024
West Brom 3–2 Swansea12 Aug 2023

Season averages per game

SWAWBA
1.50
Goals
1.43
1.14
Conceded
1.07
1.65
xG
1.52
1.29
xG against
1.43
12.1
Shots
12.6
4.6
On target
3.7
4.1
Corners
5.6
1.43
Yellow cards
1.93
43%
Clean sheets
14%
43%
Both score
71%
64%
3+ goals
43%

Questions and answers

Who will win Swansea vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives Swansea a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and West Brom 30%. GossipBall makes Swansea slight favourites to beat West Brom at home.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs West Brom?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Swansea, 1.1 for West Brom). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Swansea vs West Brom?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Swansea and West Brom score.

Will there be three or more goals in Swansea vs West Brom?

There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.3 for Swansea, 1.1 for West Brom).

When is Swansea vs West Brom?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and West Brom?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Swansea won 6, West Brom won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 1 Jan 2026, finished Swansea 1–0 West Brom, a win for Swansea.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play
New
Prediction game

Predict the scores, beat GossipBall and climb the leaderboard. Play with friends in private leagues. Free, and no prizes: just bragging rights.

  1. nesta6
  2. andrew_092
Play now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC