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Watford vs Millwall prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Millwall slight favourites to beat Watford away from home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Watford a 31% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Millwall 41%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Watford and 1.3 from Millwall, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 42% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Watford keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Millwall in 34%.
Watford are 20th in the table with 15 points from 15 games; Millwall are 16th with 18. In their last five league games Watford took 7 points (WLLWD) and Millwall took 4 (DLWLL). This season Watford average 0.96 expected goals (xG) for and 1.77 against per game; Millwall average 1.78 for and 1.45 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 1, Millwall won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Millwall, a win for Millwall.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.08 for Watford and 1.29 for Millwall.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 1, Millwall won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Millwall, a win for Millwall.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Watford vs Millwall?
GossipBall gives Watford a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Millwall 41%. GossipBall makes Millwall slight favourites to beat Watford away from home.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Millwall?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Watford, 1.3 for Millwall). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 0–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Watford vs Millwall?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Watford and Millwall score.
Will there be three or more goals in Watford vs Millwall?
There is a 42% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.1 for Watford, 1.3 for Millwall).
When is Watford vs Millwall?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Millwall?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Watford won 1, Millwall won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Millwall, a win for Millwall.