ChampionshipMatchday 18Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

West Brom vs Bristol City prediction

46%
home win
predicted score
2–0
9.1% chance
28%
draw
26%
away win
Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Brom favourites to beat Bristol City at home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives West Brom a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Bristol City 26%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from West Brom and 1.0 from Bristol City, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. West Brom keep a clean sheet in 38% of outcomes, Bristol City in 25%.

West Brom are 6th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Bristol City are 17th with 18. In their last five league games West Brom took 11 points (WDWDW) and Bristol City took 4 (LDWLL). This season West Brom average 1.63 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Bristol City average 1.41 for and 1.50 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 5, Bristol City won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Bristol City 0–1 West Brom, a win for West Brom.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
9
4
1
<1
1
13
13
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
9
4
1
<1
3
4
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: West Brom goalsColumns: Bristol City goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.1%
1–012.5%
0–09.7%
2–09.1%
2–18.9%
0–18.6%
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
69%
3 or more goals
43%
4 or more goals
22%
5 or more goals
9%
Both teams score
48%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.41 for West Brom and 0.98 for Bristol City.

Winning margin

Explained
West Brom by 3
6%
West Brom by 2
14%
West Brom by 1
24%
Draw
28%
Bristol City by 3
2%
Bristol City by 2
7%
Bristol City by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
West Brom expected goals1.41
Bristol City expected goals0.98
West Brom keep a clean sheet38%
Bristol City keep a clean sheet25%
West Brom win without conceding28%
Bristol City win without conceding15%
West Brom score 2 or more41%
Bristol City score 2 or more26%

Recent form

West Brom
W v Millwall3–0 · 7 Nov
D v Southampton1–1 · 3 Nov
W @ West Ham3–1 · 31 Oct
D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct
Bristol City
L v Norwich0–5 · 7 Nov
L v Wolves1–2 · 4 Nov
W @ Bolton3–2 · 31 Oct
D @ Stoke0–0 · 24 Oct
L v Sheffield United0–1 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 5, Bristol City won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Bristol City 0–1 West Brom, a win for West Brom.

Bristol City 0–1 West Brom21 Mar 2026
West Brom 1–2 Bristol City26 Dec 2025
Bristol City 2–1 West Brom8 Apr 2025
West Brom 2–0 Bristol City22 Dec 2024
West Brom 2–0 Bristol City16 Mar 2024
Bristol City 0–0 West Brom16 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

WBABRI
1.53
Goals
1.07
1.00
Conceded
1.60
1.63
xG
1.41
1.36
xG against
1.50
12.9
Shots
13.1
3.9
On target
4.3
5.7
Corners
5.3
1.87
Yellow cards
1.53
20%
Clean sheets
13%
67%
Both score
53%
47%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win West Brom vs Bristol City?

GossipBall gives West Brom a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bristol City 26%. GossipBall makes West Brom favourites to beat Bristol City at home.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Bristol City?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for West Brom, 1.0 for Bristol City). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in West Brom vs Bristol City?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both West Brom and Bristol City score.

Will there be three or more goals in West Brom vs Bristol City?

There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.4 for West Brom, 1.0 for Bristol City).

When is West Brom vs Bristol City?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Bristol City?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 5, Bristol City won 3 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Bristol City 0–1 West Brom, a win for West Brom.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC