ChampionshipMatchday 20Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

West Brom vs Cardiff prediction

52%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.8% chance
24%
draw
23%
away win
Win probability: home 52%, draw 24%, away 23%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Brom favourites to beat Cardiff at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives West Brom a 52% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Cardiff 23%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from West Brom and 1.1 from Cardiff, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. West Brom keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Cardiff in 17%.

West Brom are 6th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Cardiff are 14th with 18. In their last five league games West Brom took 11 points (WDWDW) and Cardiff took 8 (DWLDW). This season West Brom average 1.63 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Cardiff average 1.99 for and 1.78 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 3, Cardiff won 0 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
6
3
1
<1
1
10
11
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
10
5
2
<1
<1
3
5
6
3
1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: West Brom goalsColumns: Cardiff goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.5%
2–19.8%
1–09.7%
2–08.9%
0–06.1%
1–26.1%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
54%
4 or more goals
32%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.75 for West Brom and 1.10 for Cardiff.

Winning margin

Explained
West Brom by 3
8%
West Brom by 2
16%
West Brom by 1
23%
Draw
24%
Cardiff by 3
2%
Cardiff by 2
6%
Cardiff by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
West Brom expected goals1.75
Cardiff expected goals1.10
West Brom keep a clean sheet33%
Cardiff keep a clean sheet17%
West Brom win without conceding27%
Cardiff win without conceding11%
West Brom score 2 or more52%
Cardiff score 2 or more30%

Recent form

West Brom
W v Millwall3–0 · 7 Nov
D v Southampton1–1 · 3 Nov
W @ West Ham3–1 · 31 Oct
D @ Preston1–1 · 24 Oct
W v Blackburn3–2 · 17 Oct
Cardiff
W v Burnley5–4 · 7 Nov
D v West Ham3–3 · 4 Nov
L @ Wolves0–3 · 31 Oct
W v Birmingham1–0 · 24 Oct
D @ Middlesbrough2–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 3, Cardiff won 0 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Cardiff 0–0 West Brom26 Apr 2025
West Brom 0–0 Cardiff26 Oct 2024
West Brom 2–0 Cardiff13 Feb 2024
Cardiff 0–1 West Brom28 Nov 2023
Cardiff 1–1 West Brom15 Mar 2023
West Brom 0–0 Cardiff17 Aug 2022

Season averages per game

WBACAR
1.53
Goals
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
1.63
xG
1.99
1.36
xG against
1.78
12.9
Shots
16.7
3.9
On target
6.3
5.7
Corners
6.4
1.87
Yellow cards
1.73
20%
Clean sheets
7%
67%
Both score
73%
47%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win West Brom vs Cardiff?

GossipBall gives West Brom a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cardiff 23%. GossipBall makes West Brom favourites to beat Cardiff at home.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Cardiff?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for West Brom, 1.1 for Cardiff). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in West Brom vs Cardiff?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both West Brom and Cardiff score.

Will there be three or more goals in West Brom vs Cardiff?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.8 for West Brom, 1.1 for Cardiff).

When is West Brom vs Cardiff?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Cardiff?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, West Brom won 3, Cardiff won 0 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC