ChampionshipMatchday 21Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

West Ham vs Bristol City prediction

64%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.6% chance
19%
draw
17%
away win
Win probability: home 64%, draw 19%, away 17%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Bristol City at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives West Ham a 64% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Bristol City 17%.

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals from West Ham and 1.1 from Bristol City, so goals look likely: there is a 68% chance of three or more goals and a 62% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Bristol City in 9%.

West Ham are 9th in the table with 23 points from 15 games; Bristol City are 17th with 18. In their last five league games West Ham took 4 points (WLLDL) and Bristol City took 4 (LDWLL). This season West Ham average 2.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Bristol City average 1.41 for and 1.50 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
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Rows: West Ham goalsColumns: Bristol City goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).

Most common scorelines

2–19.6%
2–08.4%
1–18.4%
3–17.5%
1–06.9%
3–06.6%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
87%
3 or more goals
68%
4 or more goals
46%
5 or more goals
27%
Both teams score
62%

GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.36 for West Ham and 1.14 for Bristol City.

Winning margin

Explained
West Ham by 3
12%
West Ham by 2
19%
West Ham by 1
22%
Draw
19%
Bristol City by 3
1%
Bristol City by 2
4%
Bristol City by 1
10%

Each team's goals

Explained
West Ham expected goals2.36
Bristol City expected goals1.14
West Ham keep a clean sheet32%
Bristol City keep a clean sheet9%
West Ham win without conceding29%
Bristol City win without conceding6%
West Ham score 2 or more68%
Bristol City score 2 or more32%

Recent form

West Ham
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 7 Nov
D @ Cardiff3–3 · 4 Nov
L v West Brom1–3 · 31 Oct
L v Southampton2–3 · 24 Oct
W @ Swansea1–0 · 17 Oct
Bristol City
L v Norwich0–5 · 7 Nov
L v Wolves1–2 · 4 Nov
W @ Bolton3–2 · 31 Oct
D @ Stoke0–0 · 24 Oct
L v Sheffield United0–1 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WHUBRI
2.47
Goals
1.07
1.53
Conceded
1.60
2.02
xG
1.41
1.24
xG against
1.50
17.3
Shots
13.1
6.6
On target
4.3
7.0
Corners
5.3
2.13
Yellow cards
1.53
27%
Clean sheets
13%
73%
Both score
53%
80%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win West Ham vs Bristol City?

GossipBall gives West Ham a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bristol City 17%. GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Bristol City at home.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Bristol City?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.4 for West Ham, 1.1 for Bristol City). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in West Ham vs Bristol City?

GossipBall gives a 62% chance that both West Ham and Bristol City score.

Will there be three or more goals in West Ham vs Bristol City?

There is a 68% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.4 for West Ham, 1.1 for Bristol City).

When is West Ham vs Bristol City?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC