ChampionshipMatchday 20Tuesday 8 December 2026 ·

West Ham vs Middlesbrough prediction

50%
home win
predicted score
3–1
6.2% chance
22%
draw
28%
away win
Win probability: home 50%, draw 22%, away 28%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes West Ham favourites to beat Middlesbrough at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives West Ham a 50% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Middlesbrough 28%.

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from West Ham and 1.5 from Middlesbrough, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 68% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Middlesbrough in 13%.

West Ham are 9th in the table with 23 points from 15 games; Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29. In their last five league games West Ham took 4 points (WLLDL) and Middlesbrough took 8 (DWWLD). This season West Ham average 2.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Middlesbrough average 2.04 for and 0.96 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
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4
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0
3
4
3
2
<1
<1
1
6
9
7
3
1
<1
2
6
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3
1
<1
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Rows: West Ham goalsColumns: Middlesbrough goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–19.2%
2–19.1%
2–26.8%
1–26.7%
3–16.2%
2–06.1%
1 or more goals
97%
2 or more goals
87%
3 or more goals
69%
4 or more goals
47%
5 or more goals
28%
Both teams score
68%

GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.04 for West Ham and 1.50 for Middlesbrough.

Winning margin

Explained
West Ham by 3
8%
West Ham by 2
15%
West Ham by 1
21%
Draw
22%
Middlesbrough by 3
3%
Middlesbrough by 2
8%
Middlesbrough by 1
15%

Each team's goals

Explained
West Ham expected goals2.04
Middlesbrough expected goals1.50
West Ham keep a clean sheet22%
Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet13%
West Ham win without conceding19%
Middlesbrough win without conceding10%
West Ham score 2 or more60%
Middlesbrough score 2 or more44%

Recent form

West Ham
L @ Blackburn1–2 · 7 Nov
D @ Cardiff3–3 · 4 Nov
L v West Brom1–3 · 31 Oct
L v Southampton2–3 · 24 Oct
W @ Swansea1–0 · 17 Oct
Middlesbrough
D @ Watford0–0 · 7 Nov
L @ Wrexham0–2 · 4 Nov
W v Charlton3–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Bolton5–1 · 23 Oct
D v Cardiff2–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WHUMID
2.47
Goals
2.00
1.53
Conceded
1.27
2.02
xG
2.04
1.24
xG against
0.96
17.3
Shots
19.1
6.6
On target
6.1
7.0
Corners
6.1
2.13
Yellow cards
1.07
27%
Clean sheets
27%
73%
Both score
67%
80%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win West Ham vs Middlesbrough?

GossipBall gives West Ham a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 28%. GossipBall makes West Ham favourites to beat Middlesbrough at home.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Middlesbrough?

GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for West Ham, 1.5 for Middlesbrough). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%).

Will both teams score in West Ham vs Middlesbrough?

GossipBall gives a 68% chance that both West Ham and Middlesbrough score.

Will there be three or more goals in West Ham vs Middlesbrough?

There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.0 for West Ham, 1.5 for Middlesbrough).

When is West Ham vs Middlesbrough?

Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC