West Ham vs Middlesbrough prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes West Ham favourites to beat Middlesbrough at home in the Championship on Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives West Ham a 50% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Middlesbrough 28%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from West Ham and 1.5 from Middlesbrough, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 68% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Middlesbrough in 13%.
West Ham are 9th in the table with 23 points from 15 games; Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29. In their last five league games West Ham took 4 points (WLLDL) and Middlesbrough took 8 (DWWLD). This season West Ham average 2.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Middlesbrough average 2.04 for and 0.96 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 2.04 for West Ham and 1.50 for Middlesbrough.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
GossipBall gives West Ham a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 28%. GossipBall makes West Ham favourites to beat Middlesbrough at home.
What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for West Ham, 1.5 for Middlesbrough). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 2–2 (7%).
Will both teams score in West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
GossipBall gives a 68% chance that both West Ham and Middlesbrough score.
Will there be three or more goals in West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (2.0 for West Ham, 1.5 for Middlesbrough).
When is West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
Kick-off is Tuesday 8 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC.