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West Ham vs Stoke prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Stoke at home in the Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives West Ham a 67% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Stoke 15%.
GossipBall expects 2.3 goals from West Ham and 1.0 from Stoke, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Stoke in 10%.
West Ham are 9th in the table with 23 points from 15 games; Stoke are 3rd with 29. In their last five league games West Ham took 4 points (WLLDL) and Stoke took 13 (WDWWW). This season West Ham average 2.02 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Stoke average 1.02 for and 1.45 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how).
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 2.33 for West Ham and 1.01 for Stoke.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win West Ham vs Stoke?
GossipBall gives West Ham a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stoke 15%. GossipBall makes West Ham clear favourites to beat Stoke at home.
What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Stoke?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.3 for West Ham, 1.0 for Stoke). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in West Ham vs Stoke?
GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both West Ham and Stoke score.
Will there be three or more goals in West Ham vs Stoke?
There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.3 for West Ham, 1.0 for Stoke).
When is West Ham vs Stoke?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.