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Wolves vs Derby prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Wolves clear favourites to beat Derby at home in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Wolves a 64% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Derby 14%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Wolves and 0.8 from Derby, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Wolves keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Derby in 13%.
Wolves are 5th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Derby are 23rd with 10. In their last five league games Wolves took 11 points (DWWWD) and Derby took 4 (LDLLW). This season Wolves average 1.76 expected goals (xG) for and 0.93 against per game; Derby average 1.05 for and 1.94 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 10 November 2026, 13:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 2.01 for Wolves and 0.84 for Derby.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Wolves vs Derby?
GossipBall gives Wolves a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Derby 14%. GossipBall makes Wolves clear favourites to beat Derby at home.
What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Derby?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Wolves, 0.8 for Derby). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Wolves vs Derby?
GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Wolves and Derby score.
Will there be three or more goals in Wolves vs Derby?
There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (2.0 for Wolves, 0.8 for Derby).
When is Wolves vs Derby?
Kick-off is Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.