ChampionshipMatchday 21Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Wolves vs Millwall prediction

55%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.6% chance
25%
draw
20%
away win
Win probability: home 55%, draw 25%, away 20%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Millwall at home in the Championship on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Wolves a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Millwall 20%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Wolves and 0.9 from Millwall, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Wolves keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Millwall in 19%.

Wolves are 5th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Millwall are 16th with 18. In their last five league games Wolves took 11 points (DWWWD) and Millwall took 4 (DLWLL). This season Wolves average 1.76 expected goals (xG) for and 0.93 against per game; Millwall average 1.78 for and 1.45 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
7
3
<1
<1
1
12
12
5
2
<1
2
11
10
4
1
<1
3
6
5
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Wolves goalsColumns: Millwall goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–012.4%
1–112.0%
2–010.6%
2–19.6%
0–08.1%
0–16.6%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
47%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
49%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.66 for Wolves and 0.91 for Millwall.

Winning margin

Explained
Wolves by 3
8%
Wolves by 2
17%
Wolves by 1
25%
Draw
25%
Millwall by 3
1%
Millwall by 2
5%
Millwall by 1
13%

Each team's goals

Explained
Wolves expected goals1.66
Millwall expected goals0.91
Wolves keep a clean sheet40%
Millwall keep a clean sheet19%
Wolves win without conceding32%
Millwall win without conceding11%
Wolves score 2 or more49%
Millwall score 2 or more23%

Recent form

Wolves
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 7 Nov
W @ Bristol City2–1 · 4 Nov
W v Cardiff3–0 · 31 Oct
W v Watford1–0 · 24 Oct
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Oct
Millwall
L @ West Brom0–3 · 7 Nov
L @ Birmingham0–3 · 3 Nov
W v Derby4–1 · 31 Oct
L @ Portsmouth1–2 · 24 Oct
D v Lincoln2–2 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WOLMIL
1.73
Goals
1.53
1.20
Conceded
1.80
1.76
xG
1.78
0.93
xG against
1.45
16.9
Shots
14.0
4.5
On target
3.9
6.7
Corners
5.3
1.93
Yellow cards
2.07
27%
Clean sheets
27%
67%
Both score
47%
60%
3+ goals
80%

Questions and answers

Who will win Wolves vs Millwall?

GossipBall gives Wolves a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Millwall 20%. GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Millwall at home.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Millwall?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Wolves, 0.9 for Millwall). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Wolves vs Millwall?

GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Wolves and Millwall score.

Will there be three or more goals in Wolves vs Millwall?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.7 for Wolves, 0.9 for Millwall).

When is Wolves vs Millwall?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC