Wolves vs Southampton prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Southampton at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Wolves a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Southampton 27%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Wolves and 1.2 from Southampton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Wolves keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Southampton in 18%.
Wolves are 5th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Southampton are 4th with 28. In their last five league games Wolves took 11 points (DWWWD) and Southampton took 8 (DWWDL). This season Wolves average 1.76 expected goals (xG) for and 0.93 against per game; Southampton average 1.72 for and 1.34 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.73 for Wolves and 1.23 for Southampton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Wolves vs Southampton?
GossipBall gives Wolves a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Southampton 27%. GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Southampton at home.
What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Southampton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Wolves, 1.2 for Southampton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Wolves vs Southampton?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Wolves and Southampton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Wolves vs Southampton?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.7 for Wolves, 1.2 for Southampton).
When is Wolves vs Southampton?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.