ChampionshipMatchday 19Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Wolves vs Southampton prediction

49%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
24%
draw
27%
away win
Win probability: home 49%, draw 24%, away 27%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Southampton at home in the Championship on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Wolves a 49% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Southampton 27%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Wolves and 1.2 from Southampton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Wolves keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Southampton in 18%.

Wolves are 5th in the table with 28 points from 15 games; Southampton are 4th with 28. In their last five league games Wolves took 11 points (DWWWD) and Southampton took 8 (DWWDL). This season Wolves average 1.76 expected goals (xG) for and 0.93 against per game; Southampton average 1.72 for and 1.34 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
6
4
2
<1
<1
1
9
11
7
3
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
2
<1
<1
3
4
6
3
1
<1
<1
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2
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Wolves goalsColumns: Southampton goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.4%
2–19.5%
1–08.6%
2–07.8%
1–26.8%
0–16.0%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
34%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
59%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.73 for Wolves and 1.23 for Southampton.

Winning margin

Explained
Wolves by 3
7%
Wolves by 2
15%
Wolves by 1
22%
Draw
24%
Southampton by 3
3%
Southampton by 2
8%
Southampton by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Wolves expected goals1.73
Southampton expected goals1.23
Wolves keep a clean sheet29%
Southampton keep a clean sheet18%
Wolves win without conceding24%
Southampton win without conceding12%
Wolves score 2 or more52%
Southampton score 2 or more35%

Recent form

Wolves
D @ Wrexham1–1 · 7 Nov
W @ Bristol City2–1 · 4 Nov
W v Cardiff3–0 · 31 Oct
W v Watford1–0 · 24 Oct
D v Portsmouth1–1 · 20 Oct
Southampton
L @ Preston0–1 · 7 Nov
D @ West Brom1–1 · 3 Nov
W v QPR4–1 · 31 Oct
W @ West Ham3–2 · 24 Oct
D v Bolton0–0 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

WOLSOU
1.73
Goals
1.93
1.20
Conceded
1.00
1.76
xG
1.72
0.93
xG against
1.34
16.9
Shots
15.6
4.5
On target
5.0
6.7
Corners
5.6
1.93
Yellow cards
1.67
27%
Clean sheets
20%
67%
Both score
73%
60%
3+ goals
53%

Questions and answers

Who will win Wolves vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives Wolves a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Southampton 27%. GossipBall makes Wolves favourites to beat Southampton at home.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Southampton?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Wolves, 1.2 for Southampton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Wolves vs Southampton?

GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Wolves and Southampton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Wolves vs Southampton?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.7 for Wolves, 1.2 for Southampton).

When is Wolves vs Southampton?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC